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In-depth analysis of important political developments in South Africa, with a focus on their broader economic and policy implications. These notes are exclusive to Premium Insights clients and provide space for deeper dives into specific political events, trends and themes. For more regular updates on political developments, see the BER Weekly Review.
Date Uploaded: October 19 2026 10:00
Ultimately, the type of coalitions which emerge to run the metros will determine political stability and the potential for local government reform until the end of the term. An upside outcome would involve the largest parties in council negotiating stable coalitions and pursuing a clear reform agenda across multiple metros over the next five-year term. A downside scenario would involve cumbersome, multi-marginal-party coalitions which allow for paralysis, extraction and little opportunity for reform – in short, a continuation of the status quo. In this note, we provide coalition scenarios and their implications.